Betting Strategies Reddit

 

As one of the 10-most active websites in the world and home to a massive community of real people, Reddit is a goldmine of interesting and useful information for just about every topic imaginable. Regardless of the topic that interests you, there is a high likelihood Reddit has an active community dedicated specifically to that topic.

Money Management/Bankroll Management. When you are betting on sports you should always set. Best Sports Betting Strategies. Facebook; Twitter; Reddit; If you talk to any bettor at a sportsbook, they will have their own wagering tips that they use to win money. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don’t. The key to betting on sports is to use the strategies below to gain an edge. Our betting experts recommend these strategies because.

The thing that makes Reddit different than other websites is Reddit is entirely community-driven. This means it isn’t just one person writing all the content from one point of view. At Reddit, anyone can chime in with a comment and you are exposed to multiple points of view and differing opinions.

When it comes to sports betting in particular, one of the big reasons I like Reddit is the best sports betting subreddits do not have an agenda – they consist of normal people exchanging ideas. The people commenting are typically are not trying to sell you something or promote any bookmakers. In the end, what you get is a more organic exchange of ideas.

The downside to visiting betting sub-reddits is that anyone can sign up for a Reddit account and comment, no expertise necassary. It’s up to you to read through the various comments, keep what you like and discard the rest. The voting system employed by Reddit does enforce some level of quality control, but it is not perfect.

For those unfamiliar with Reddit, you may find it confusing at first. Just stick with it for a while and you will get the hang of it. The basic rundown is this: Reddit.com is the main website and the homepage is a mish-mash of popular topics.

Subreddits are the individual communities within Reddit that focus on a specific topic. The URL structure for any particular topic looks like this, for example: www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting.

During conversation, Redditors (people who use Reddit) drop the full URL when referring to other subreddits. Thus, someone might refer to the sports betting reddit as just r/sportsbetting.

Within each subreddit, people can start topics of discussion by either submitting a link to something interesting or writing a post of their own. In both cases, other people can stop by to read the post or visit the link and have a discussion around the topic at hand. Each subreddit is full of these discussion threads, so there is quite a bit of interesting content and discussion to peruse at your leisure.

Now, let’s get to the topic at hand. The following betting related subreddits are organized by category and then listed in order of the number of subscribers. In general, the more subscribers a subreddit has, the more active it is.

Note: All subscriber numbers were originally collected on 24 May, 2017 and will be updated as needed.

Best Sports Betting Subreddits

These subreddits are geared towards sports betting in general. There is no singular focus on a specific type of sport, but the content mostly centers around mainstream sports such as soccer, football, MMA, baseball, basketball, tennis and so on.

r/sportsbook: 33,833 subscribers

r/sportsbook is a great all-around sports betting community that is active, well-moderated and interesting. Daily sports betting threads for specific sports leagues are useful for timely information and opinions. You will also find the occasional highly informative post such as this one that really digs into the math behind sports betting strategies.

The subreddit sidebar (which is located on the right side of the screen when viewing from a desktop) also contains useful resources and links to other websites. For example, they link out to betting calculators, basic betting terms, statistics, other useful tools and related subreddits.

No matter which sport you enjoy, r/sportsbook is always worth a look. You will also find the occasional thread dedicated to eSports betting and other niche sports.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/

r/SoccerBetting: 18,398 subscribers

If you like to bet on soccer, you are in luck. This is one of the best betting subreddits of all and it is all football, all the time. The sub is highly active and has a friendly community that shares everything from big scores to the latest betting tips.

The frequent live betting / watching threads are a great place to hang out during big matches and talk about what’s happening, how your bets are faring and more. Other topics of discussion include everything from betting tips to people asking how in the heck in-play betting sites are able to keep track of so many games happening all at once.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/SoccerBetting/

r/SportsbookReview: 138 subscribers

This is not the largest or most active betting subreddit, but new reviews are posted just often enough to keep it fairly up to date and very useful. Anyone can visit to leave a review, and reviews are grouped together into one thread for each betting site.

The reviews here are not very in-depth, but they offer the advantage of not being written by people who receive compensation from those same books. These are some of the most organic sportsbook reviews you will find on the internet.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/SportsbookReview/

eSports Betting Subreddits

There are two major eSports betting communities on Reddit. One is dedicated to Counter-Strike and the other is dedicated to Dota 2. Both are full of useful information for upcoming matches, strategies for smart betting and recommendations of where to bet on eSports online.

r/csgobetting: 46,664 subscribers

Interestingly, r/csgobetting is the largest betting-related subreddit on all of Reddit. If you’re into eSports and Counter-Strike in particular, this is the subreddit for you. New threads are started each day for upcoming matches in addition to a daily thread for general CSGO betting discussion.

The daily betting threads normally get upwards of 150-200 comments each while the threads dedicated to specific matches are good for 10 or more comments at a time. You will also find the occasional general strategies thread and threads discussing which betting sites are the best for CS:GO. In all, this subreddit is chock-full of useful information.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/csgobetting/

r/Dota2Betting: 1,970 subscribers

Dota2Betting is not nearly as busy as some of the other subreddits discussed here, but it is still worth browsing if you bet on Dota2. You can expect to find at least two or three new threads each day. The Dota 2 subreddit consists primarily of daily predictions threads along with the occasional thread for individual matches or big events.

The Dota2 betting subreddit has lost a good deal of its activity in the wake of the Valve skins betting scandal that resulted in the closure of many skins betting sites, but you can still find a good deal of discussion and commentary useful for regular real-money betting. The sidebar also contains a number of links that you will find handy for statistics and betting research.

Online Betting Reddit

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/Dota2Betting/

Horse Racing

Horse racing betting is a bit of a slow topic at Reddit, but there are still a couple horse racing betting subreddits that you may find helpful.

r/horseracing: 3,810 subscribers

The general horseracing subreddit is fairly active considering it has fewer than 4,000 subscribers. New threads are started daily, although the discussion does not often exceed 5 or 10 comments. Bigger horse racing betting events such as the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes do result in a significant amount of discussion however.

This subreddit is open to all horse racing discussion, but it definitely has an emphasis on races held in the USA. Threads started in this subreddit cover a broad range of topics including everything from upcoming race previews to basic handicapping questions to people posting screenshots of winning tickets.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/horseracing/

r/HorseRacingUK: 302 subscribers

Whereas r/horseracing focuses on the US racing scene, r/HorseRacingUK is all about horse races hosted in the UK. This subreddit is the least active of all we have discussed today, but the occasional news article and daily tips threads do offer some interesting and useful commentary that will help you in your handicapping endeavors.

Visit: https://www.reddit.com/r/HorseRacingUK/


Many mathematicians have tried and failed to create the perfect betting strategy. Each betting system has its shortcomings no matter how badly someone tries to convince you that their strategy is guaranteed.

But does this mean that all betting strategies are total junk?

No, some strategies do have merit and provide short or even long-term results. The only catch is figuring out which betting systems are worth using.

Let’s discuss 10 wagering strategies that work. Some of these systems only work on specific games like baccarat or roulette, while others can apply to any casino game.

1. Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll

A common scenario for casual gamblers is to walk into the casino with around $200 dollars and make bets between $10 and $25.

This seems harmless in theory, if you’re gambling with expendable income. But the problem is that you’re very likely to run out of money this way.

One good idea that comes from sports betting is only risking 2% or less of your bankroll on any given wager.

Professional and serious amateur sports bettors do this to minimize their short-term risk. But you can really apply this system to any casino game.

Here’s an example:
  • Your bankroll is $2,000.
  • 2% of your bankroll is $40.
  • You can place bets worth $40 or lower.

Pros of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll

The biggest benefit to wagering 2% or less of your bankroll is that it keeps you in the game. You’re not risking chunks worth 5. 20% of your bankroll like most players.

This is helpful in any casino game from blackjack to Caribbean stud poker. But it’s especially useful in skill-based games like daily fantasy sports (DFS), poker, and sports betting.

The reason why is because skill-based games are prone to more streakiness than house-banked games. In these games, it’s common to experience long dry streaks that make you question if they’ll ever end.

The best way to get through them is by risking small amounts of your bankroll on each wager. Furthermore, you’ll dramatically lower your risk of ruin.

Cons of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll

The first problem with this system is that most players don’t have a large enough bankroll to only wager 2% or less per bet. Under this system, you’ll need at least $1,000 in just to make a $20 wager (2%).

Professionals can afford to be disciplined like this because they have large bankrolls. But if you’re just a casual blackjack or craps player, you probably don’t walk into the casino with thousands of dollars.

Another downside is that some players find that this system doesn’t offer enough action. These same players may like varying their wagers from big to small depending upon how lucky they feel.

But, as long as you have a large enough bankroll, this system is definitely worth using.

2. The Martingale

The Martingale betting strategy has two things going for it:

  • It’s easy.
  • This system will theoretically provide a profit every time.

The Martingale calls on you to double bets after every loss. The goal is to always win back your losses and earn a small profit in the process.

You should also make even-money bets with the Martingale in order to simplify things and minimize your risk.

Here’s an example:
  • You bet $10 and win (+10).
  • You bet $10 and lose (0).
  • You bet $20 and lose (- 20).
  • You bet $40 and lose (- 60).
  • You bet $80 and lose (- 140).
  • You bet $160 and lose (- 300).
  • You bet $320 and win (+20).
  • Next bet returns to $10.

Pros of the Martingale

The Martingale’s best aspects include its ease of use and how it can theoretically be successful.

As long as you have the funds to continue doubling bets after losses, you’ll eventually win back your money. You’ll also book small profits along the way every time you win.

The Martingale is one of the best systems for those looking for consistent short-term profits.

Cons of the Martingale

The Martingale’s downside is that it’s an extremely risky strategy. You’ll be betting far more than your original wager after 5 to 6 losing wagers.

This can make you hesitant to pull the trigger on the next double bet. Even worse is that your bankroll will vanish if the losing streak continues.

Another problem is that casinos impose table limits to prevent wealthy gamblers from the using the Martingale to the fullest. Otherwise, Mark Zuckerberg ($56 billion net worth) would always win with the Martingale because his bankroll would likely never run out.

You’ll eventually run into a losing streak that’s long enough to hit the table limit. In this case, you take a big loss because you can no longer double wagers to win everything back.

3. The Martingale in Skill-Based Games

We just covered how the Martingale is a very risky betting strategy. What’s more is that this system doesn’t do anything to alter the house edge.

But what if you could combine the Martingale’s effectiveness with skill?

This betting strategy can be profitable in skill based games like DFS and sports betting. Not only can you win back your losses with the Martingale, but you can also swing the odds in your favor with enough skill.

Here’s an example of how this works in DFS:

  • You lose a $10 + $1 (fee) head to head contest (- 11).
  • You lose a $20 + $2 head to head contest (- 33).
  • You lose a $40 + $4 head to head contest (- 77).
  • You win an $80 + $8 head to head contest (- 5).
  • You win a $10 + $1 head to head contest (+5).

The tough thing about DFS contests is that you have to pay an extra 10% entry fee to the sites. But as the above example shows, the Martingale strategy can still help you book a profit even if you lose the majority of contests.

Let’s look at one more example involving sports betting:

  • You lose an $11 bet (- 11).
  • You lose a $22 bet (- 22).
  • You lose a $44 bet (- 77).
  • You lose an $88 bet (- 165).
  • You win a $176 bet and earn a $160 profit (- 5).
  • You win an $11 bet and earn a $10 profit (+5),

The drawback to sports betting is that the house takes 10% juice from the losing side. But the Martingale can still help you be profitable when you string together two or more wins.

Pros of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games

The great thing about using this system in skill-based contests is that you can overcome short-term variance by consistently winning back losses.

The sports betting example above shows how you can earn back your losses plus a small profit even after several losing wagers.

Another advantage is that you’re not just using the Martingale in a casino game with a house edge. Instead, you’re playing skill based games.

The end result is that you get the enviable combination of getting your losses back and having a chance to win long-term profits.

Cons of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games

You’re taking a risk on three fronts with this betting strategy:

  • You might be at a skill disadvantage to opponents/other bettors.
  • You’re still dealing with the Martingale risks.
  • You must pay 10% fees (DFS) or 10% juice on losses (sports betting).

The first point is key because you could be facing an even worse proposition than house-banked casino games if you’re not better than opponents.

Add in the standard Martingale risks along with sportsbook/DFS fees, and non-skilled bettors are looking at a potential bankroll disaster.

4. Betting on Baccarat’s Banker Hand

Baccarat gives you three different betting options, including the banker hand, player hand, and tie bet. And the top system for playing baccarat involves making the banker bet every time.

The reason why is because the banker hand only has a 1.06% house edge. Compare this to the player hand and tie wager, which have 1.24% and 14.36% house edges, respectively.

Given that all you need to do is bet on the banker hand every time, baccarat is great for casual players who don’t want to deal with in-depth strategy.

Pros of Betting on the Banker Hand

The banker hand wager is one of the best in gaming. Only a handful of casino games offer a lower house edge than 1.06%.

The other advantage to wagering on the banker hand is that you don’t have to study strategy. Instead, you simply need to make the same bet every time.

Cons of Betting on the Banker Hand

The banker hand’s 1.06% house edge isn’t as harmless as it seems.

Mini baccarat games see anywhere from 120. 200 hands dealt per hour. This is 2. 3 times the hand rate that you’ll see in blackjack games and this exposes you more to the house edge.

Let’s look at the theoretical losses that you’d be facing in a fast-dealt baccarat game:

  • You’re making $10 bets on the banker
  • The table is seeing 200 hands per hour.
  • This adds up to $2,000 in total hourly bets.
  • We take 2,000 x 0.0106.
  • Your theoretical losses are $21.20 per hour.

5. Value Betting

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Value betting is the process of getting maximum value out of situations where you have a long-term advantage. This term is most often used in poker, but it can also describe how blackjack card counters operate.

Value betting requires being able to spot and take advantage of favorable situations.

One example is when a poker player believes they have the best hand and bets in a way that extracts maximum value from their opponent. Going further, their wagers need to be large enough to get the most value from the opposing player, yet small enough that the opponent won’t fold.

Another example involves how card counters keep track of the deck until the count swings in their favor. They then make larger bets to maximize situations where the deck is rich in 10s and aces.

Pros of Value Betting

Anybody who wants to make long-term profits through gambling can benefit from value betting. This is how poker pros and card counters earn their living.

In poker’s case, being good at value betting can separate you from opponents. Getting the most value out of your great hands will improve your profits in the long run.

Cons of Value Betting

The problem with this betting strategy is that it calls on you to have the following qualities:

  • Being good at math.
  • Being skilled in the game you’re playing.
  • Being able to walk a fine line with betting.

Wagering too little prevents you from capitalizing on your best poker hands. Wagering too much pushes your opponents out of hands and keeps you from making money on future streets.

For card counters, betting too high in favorable situations can attract the casino’s attention. In turn, they’ll find out that you’re a card counter and ban you for life.

6. Taking Craps Odds

The best regular bets in craps include pass line, don’t pass line, come, and don’t come. But there’s another craps wager that’s even better than these called odds.

Craps odds is the best bet in the casino because it doesn’t have a house edge. Instead, you’re paid at your true odds of winning. And one of the top betting strategies that you can use includes continually backing regular bets with odds.

To place an odds wager, you need to first make a pass line or don’t pass line bet after a point has been established. You should also inform the dealer that you’re making an odds bet.

Here are the payouts for when you back a pass line bet with odds (a.k.a. taking odds):

  • 2 to 1 on point numbers of 4 and 10.
  • 3 to 2 on points of 5 and 9.
  • 6 to 5 on points of 6 and 8.

Here are payouts for when you back a don’t pass line wager with odds (a.k.a. laying odds):

  • 1 to 2 for points of 4 and 10.
  • 2 to 3 for points of 5 and 9.
  • 5 to 6 for points of 6 and 8.

Pros of Taking Craps Odds

Odds is the only bet where the casino doesn’t have a house edge. And what’s great is that you can reduce the house advantage to almost nothing by taking higher odds.

Here’s a look at how far the house edge is reduced based on the odds you take:

OddsPass Line/ComeDon’t Pass Line/Don’t Come
0x1.41% house edge1.36% house edge
1x0.848%0.682%
2x0.606%0.455%
Full Double Odds0.572%0.431%
3x0.471%0.341%
3x 4x 5x0.374%0.273%
5x0.326%0.227%
10x0.184%0.124%
20x0.099%0.065%
100x0.021%0.014%

Cons of Taking Craps Odds

Casinos cap the size of odds because they don’t make long term profits off these wagers. The highest most casinos go is 5x odds, while others don’t even allow this amount.

A few Las Vegas casinos offer anywhere from 10x to 100x odds. And this seems like a dream based on how higher odds reduce the house edge further.

But the problem is that most players don’t have the bankroll to continue taking the highest odds available. If you put $10 on pass line and take 20x odds, you need an additional $200.

The average gambler doesn’t have this kind of money for a single bet, even if there’s no house edge involved.

7. The Labouchere

The Labouchere (a.k.a. cancellation system) is a negative progression betting strategy like the Martingale. The main difference, though, is that it’s less risky.

You start this system by creating a unit size. And the simplest way to do this is by choosing the table’s minimum bet.

The next step involves deciding how many units you want to win during your session. After deciding this, you create a string of numbers that adds up to your desired unit win.

You then add the first and last number in the sequence to determine your bet.

You cross off both of these numbers after a win. And you add the combined number to the end of your string after a loss.

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Here’s an example of the Labouchere in action:

  • You want to win 18 units.
  • Your number string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 3.
  • Your first bet is 6 units (3 + 3).
  • You win and your new string is: 4, 5, 3.
  • Your next bet is 7 units (4 + 3).
  • You lose and your new string is: 4, 5, 3, 7.

Pros of the Labouchere

One good thing about the Labouchere is that it gives you more freedom than most betting systems. You decide your unit size, desired profit, and how to achieve this profit.

Another good aspect to the cancellation system is that it’s not as risky as systems like the Martingale. Rather than doubling your bet following every loss to win back losses, you’re merely wagering a certain amount of units.

Cons of the Labouchere

The biggest problem with this system is that you’re forced to make a series of big bets during a losing streak. Let’s look at how this works by going back to the number sequence in the first example:

  • Your number sequence is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4.
  • Your first bet is 7 units.
  • You lose and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7.
  • You lose a 10-unit bet and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7, 10.

This isn’t as bad as doubling your bets after every loss. But most players won’t feel comfortable wagering between 7 and 10 units for several bets in a row.

8. Making Even-Money Bets in French Roulette

Roulette offers three main variations, which are American roulette, European roulette, and French roulette. The best version is French roulette because it only has a 1.35% house edge.

French roulette is played on a European wheel (37 numbers). But the difference between European and French roulette is that the latter has the la partage rule.

La partage pays half your bet back on losing even-money wagers that land on zero. This effectively cuts the European roulette house edge (2.70%) in half as long as you stick with even-money bets.

Pros of Even-Money French Roulette Bets

The best aspects to making even-money bets with French roulette include the low house edge and excellent probability of winning.

As for the latter, you have a 48.64% chance of winning red/black, odd/even, and high/low. This is even better than your chances of winning a blackjack hand (42.22%) or baccarat hand (45.85%) when ties are accounted for.

The high probability of winning and the low house edge combine to create low volatility. And this is perfect for players with small bankrolls who want to last in casino games.

Cons of Even-Money French Roulette Bets

The biggest problem is that you can’t find French roulette in most land-based or online casinos.

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France, Germany, and Monte Carlo offer a fair number of French roulette games. But the game is sparsely found in most other countries.

Any online casino with Microgaming or Realtime Gaming software will offer French roulette. Cryptologic (NYX Gaming) also has a European roulette variation that’s actually French roulette.

But beyond this, you’ll have a hard time even finding French roulette online.

9. Oscar’s Grind

Oscar’s Grind is another negative progression strategy in the same vein as the Martingale or Labouchere. But this one is more complicated.

You start off by betting 1 unit. And you keep your unit size the same when you’re in a winning or losing streak.

You increase your bet by 1 unit whenever you win following a loss. The bet size stays at this level until you lose, then win again.

The overall theme is to chase losses following losing streaks. Here’s an example to illustrate Oscar’s Grind:

  • You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 1)
  • You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2)
  • You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 3)
  • You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 4)
  • You bet 1 unit and win – Next bet becomes 2 units (bankroll at. 3)
  • You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 5)
  • You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 7)
  • You bet 2 units and win – Next bet becomes 3 units (bankroll at. 5)
  • You bet 3 units and win – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2).
  • You bet 3 units and win – Next bet becomes 1 unit (bankroll at +1).

Once you book a profit following a losing streak, you start the process over again.

Pros of Oscar’s Grind

The good thing about Oscar’s Grind is that it allows you to chase losses without going overboard. You’re only increasing bets by 1 unit following a losing streak, which is less risky than both the Labouchere and Martingale.

The other benefit is that Oscar’s Grind is less likely to reach the table betting limit than the other two systems. This minimizes the problem of running into the table limit during a lengthy losing streak.

Cons of Oscar’s Grind

The first downside to Oscar’s Grind is that it’s more confusing than both the Labouchere and Martingale.

Examples help with learning Oscar’s Grind. But it’s not the easiest to start with if you’re new to betting strategies.

The other problem is that this system is also subject to risk and table limits if you use it over a long time period. The risk is minimized with Oscar’s Grind, but there’s still a small chance that you’ll run into a table limit.

10. No. 12 Seed vs. No. 5 Seed in March Madness

One of the worst kept secrets about March Madness betting is that No. 12 seeds are a good bet to beat No. 5 seeds.

The four No. 12 seeds in the NCAA Tournament usually face long odds to beat the No. 5 seeds. But they also have a high success rate when considering the disparity in rankings.

At least one No. 12 seed has beaten a No. 5 seed in the first round in 16 of the past 17 NCAA Tournaments. Over the past five years (2013 to 17), nine No. 12 seeds have triumphed in the first round.

Pros of Betting on No. 12 Seeds

You can win quite frequently by betting on No. 12 seeds to beat the spread.

In the last nine March Madness events, No. 12 seeds have gone 23-12-1 against the spreads (ATS). This includes an impressive 11–4–1 ATS over the past five seasons.

These low seeded teams can also earn you big profits through straight up bets. No. 12 seeds have a decent chance of winning versus the long odds they carry.

Cons of Betting on No. 12 Seeds

The problem with betting on No. 12 seeds is that they lose a majority of the time.

This isn’t to say that you shouldn’t still bet on No. 12 seeds, because they’ve been profitable over a long time period. But you still need the handicapping skills to determine which No. 12 seeds have a chance of winning, or at least covering the spread.

One more drawback is that you only have four chances to make these bets every year. This leaves you with a very limited opportunity to take advantage of No. 12 seed bets.

Conclusion

Sports Betting Strategies

Betting strategies should never be viewed as a way to make guaranteed profits and replace your day job. But some of them can be highly effective over the short run and spice up your gambling sessions.

The most reasonable strategies include betting less than 2% of your bankroll, wagering on the banker hand, taking craps odds, and making even-money bets in French roulette. These help you pull in consistent wins and limit the risk factor.

Riskier systems include the Martingale, Labouchere, and Oscar’s Grind. The latter is the safest of these betting systems because you don’t increase your bet as much following losses.

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You can also make long-term profits with betting strategies if you’re skilled enough. These strategies include value betting, using the Martingale in skill based games, and wagering on No. 12 seeds in March Madness.

As you can see, there are a variety of working systems that cater to different interests. And wagering strategies can also make gambling more exciting.